Predicting the size of shadow economy in Algeria (2016-2019)
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Date
2021-12-31
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University of Oum El Bouaghi
Abstract
This paper aims to anticipate the size of shadow economy in Algeria from 2016 to 2019.The results of the study are based on two methodologies: first, establishing the relationship between shadow economy and economic growth over the period 1992-2015; and second checking the power of model to predict size of shadow economy from 2016 to 2019. The findings suggest that there is a negative significant impact of shadow economy on economic growth, and the size of shadow economy is nearly 24-26 percent for the specified period.
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Keywords
Shadow economy, Economic growth, Regression, Predicting